As the European elections approach, some experts predict that far-right, pro-Russian groups may emerge victorious. This could lead to significant changes in Europe and a shift towards a more right-wing direction. Simon Hix, a British political researcher at the Robert Schuman Centre, discusses the potential breakthrough of right-wing radicals in these elections.
Forecasts suggest that the ECR and ID groups, representing far-right conservatives and reformists, are expected to gain the most seats in the European Parliament. These parties range from traditional far-right to radical and extreme right, including prominent parties such as Italy’s Fratelli d’Italia, Germany’s AfD, and Spain’s Vox. Hungary’s Fidesz party, led by the Hungarian Prime Minister, will also be joining the ECR post-election.
If these predictions hold true, European politics could shift towards a more conservative direction after the elections. However, concerns have been raised about the impact of this shift on support for Ukraine. The divisions within EU countries may deepen as some countries may become less supportive of Ukraine due to their affiliations with pro-Russia far-right parties. This could pose a security risk for Europe as a whole as it undermines unity among EU states in supporting Ukraine against Russian aggression.
In addition to implications for Ukraine, the shift to the right in European elections could influence immigration and climate policies. Far-right parties typically focus on domestic issues and result in more restrictive policies on immigration. They are now turning their attention to challenging EU’s climate policies which they view as elitist initiatives that disregard social and economic costs to citizens.
In conclusion, if pro-Russia far-right parties win in upcoming European elections it could have profound consequences for Europe’s foreign policy and its relationships with countries like Ukraine
