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The idea that the worst is behind us is becoming more solid as time goes on. In March, the price of food reached its lowest rate in over two years at 4.3%, a significant decrease compared to the previous year. The reduction in food prices has made visits to the supermarket less bitter for families. However, the cost of fuel and electricity continues to push up the Consumer Price Index (CPI), which rose to 3.2% in March. Despite this increase, the underlying CPI, which excludes energy and fresh food, continued to moderate, indicating a de-escalation in other groups affecting the index.

One of the significant reasons for the decrease in the shopping basket is the lower prices of legumes and vegetables, which fell by 9.2% compared to the previous year. While overall prices in the shopping basket have not decreased significantly, they are rising at a slower rate. For example, meat prices have increased less steeply compared to previous years: beef prices rose by 2.8%, while pork increased by 6.4%, both significantly lower than last year’s rates. On the other hand, olive oil prices have increased by an astounding 70%.

The rise in general inflation has been mainly due to increasing fuel prices, which have been rising steadily since January. Gasoline and diesel have become more expensive compared to a year ago; gasoline experienced an increase of 3.7%, while diesel saw a rise of 2.8%. Additionally, electricity prices rose this year due to VAT normalization despite low regulated market costs; this also contributed to inflation concerns.

Inflation remains a concern for analysts as it continues to put pressure on underlying inflation figures such as services like bars and accommodation costs.

Despite these concerns, national and European inflation rates are decreasing slowly but surely.

Germany reported its inflation rate at 2.2% in March – three tenths lower than February’s rate and its lowest since early 2021 – reflecting declining global commodity prices and weakening economic growth within Europe.

This decline has led European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde to consider lowering interest rates further as part of their quantitative easing program aimed at stimulating economic growth without triggering hyperinflation risks.

Overall, there are still challenges ahead regarding maintaining stable price levels across different sectors but signs point towards some relief from high inflationary pressures seen earlier this year

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