Dangerous Atlantic Hurricane Season Ahead due to El Nino-La Nina Transition”.

The upcoming transition from El Nino to La Nina is expected to bring about major climate changes. While the shift may lead to a decrease in El Nino’s warming effects, it could also lead to an active hurricane season in the Atlantic and drier conditions in the southern United States. Despite this, 2024 remains among the top five hottest years in climate history, as noted by Tom Di Liberto, a scientist at the Bureau of Climate Change NOAA.

El Nino and La Nina represent two contrasting patterns in the equatorial trade winds. During El Nino, weakening trade winds lead to warmer temperatures in the eastern Pacific, affecting regions in North and South America. On the other hand, La Nina strengthens trade winds, causing warmer water to move towards Asia and increased cold water upwelling along the Pacific coasts.

The current El Nino phase is expected to transition to La Nina rapidly, potentially leading to an active hurricane season ahead. With decreased wind shear during La Nina, conditions become more favorable for stronger storms to form. As a result, experts predict a very active Atlantic hurricane season, possibly comparable to previous active storm seasons.

Due to the combination of the upcoming La Nina event and warm Atlantic surface temperatures, the CSU Tropical Weather and Climate Research Group foresees a strong Atlantic hurricane season. There could be an increased number of named storms, with a higher likelihood of Category 3 or higher storms. While the exact impact on mainland areas is uncertain, the potential for strong storms remains a concern.