Professor Alex Mintz, the head of the laboratory for computerized decision-making at Reichman University and former rector of the university, presented a computerized analysis of Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar’s decisions at the Herzliya 2024 conference. The study aimed to understand the rational decision-making process of Sinwar within the context of Hamas’ goals and interests.
The analysis revealed that Sinwar’s decisions are guided by his perception of Hamas’ goals, such as ending the war, achieving an Israeli withdrawal, introducing humanitarian aid, and negotiating prisoner exchanges. Additionally, preserving Hamas’ rule and leadership were identified as central considerations in Sinwar’s decision-making process. Through DecisionHuddleAi, several potential scenarios were explored, including the impact of Israeli actions on Hamas’ responses.
Professor Mintz highlighted the significance of using artificial intelligence tools in strategic analysis, emphasizing the ability to predict opponents’ decisions more accurately and quickly without analytical biases. He discussed the potential of applied decision analysis in reproducing past decisions to identify decision patterns and forecast future actions. In the context of the US Pentagon’s initiatives in AI decision-making, Professor Mintz underscored the importance of developing similar capabilities in Israel for defense purposes.
By leveraging artificial intelligence in strategic analysis, a new perspective emerges on understanding adversaries’ decision-making processes. Professor Mintz’s research sheds light on Sinwar’s decision pattern and his focus on promoting Hamas’ goals, particularly preserving its rule and leadership. Through an AI-driven approach, it becomes possible to anticipate Sinwar’s future decisions and explore potential scenarios based on his unique perspective as a terrorist leader.
Overall, Professor Mintz’s presentation at the Herzliya conference highlighted the transformative potential of artificial intelligence in strategic analysis and decision-making. By delving into the decision space of adversaries like Sinwar, it becomes feasible to anticipate their actions and better prepare for future strategic challenges.